Moores Law might be Dead

What is Moore's Law?

Moore's Law is a theory that predicted the speed of development of modern technology. Coined by Intel co-founder Gordon Moore in 1965, it states that the number of transistors on a microchip doubles approximately every two years, leading to a rapid increase in computing power. At the time, Moore's Law was a bold prediction, but it has proven remarkably accurate over the past several decades. Today's computers are millions of times more powerful than those of the 1960s, thanks in large part to the ongoing march of Moore's Law.

What does the say about the future of technology?

In short, it suggests that we can expect computing power to continue increasing at an exponential rate, allowing for the development of ever more sophisticated technologies. However, some experts believe that Moore's Law may be reaching its limits, as it becomes increasingly difficult to pack more transistors onto a chip without encountering issues such as overheating. Nonetheless, the legacy of Moore's Law continues to shape the world we live in today, and its impact is likely to be felt for many years to come.

The Past, Present & Future

• The Past

  In the past, Moore's Laws a driving theory behind the development of modern technology. It has enabled the creation of increasingly powerful and complex computer systems, from the early mainframe computers of the 1960s to the sophisticated smartphones and artificial intelligence systems of today. Without Moore's Law, many of the technological advances that we take for granted today would simply not have been possible.

• The Present

  Debate surrounds whether Moore's Law still applies to the semiconductor industry. The International Technology Roadmap for Semiconductors predicted in 2013 that the law would begin to slow down or even end by 2021. While some believe that traditional chip manufacturing has reached its limits.

• The Future

  The future of Moore's Law is uncertain, with some predicting its end due to traditional chip manufacturing limits, while others suggest new technologies like quantum computing and chip design could keep it alive. Goldman Sachs predicts significant implications for the industry, while the Semiconductor Industry Association sees it as a powerful driver of progress. The International Technology Roadmap for Semiconductors predicted its slowdown or end by 2021.

Why the future for Moore's Law isn't bright

1. The size of a transistor is now so small that there just isn’t much more we can do to make them smaller.
2. It’s becoming increasingly difficult to make transistors work together as part of a chip.
3. The cost of building new chip factories is increasing.
4. The amount of power needed to run a chip is increasing.
5. The amount of heat generated by a chip is increasing.
6. The cost of designing new chips is increasing.

To conclude...

Moore’s Law still has some truth to it. As the years go by the technology gets cheaper and quicker. However, the rate at which this happens, a known as the only thing the law was describing, is slowing down. This leads to the conclusion that Moore's law isn't what it used to be. So Moore's Law may have had it's time. This leads me to the conclusion that it is dead.